Since the 2003 postseason, the over is 5-2-1 in games with a closing total between 51-55 points that also close at least one point higher than the opening total.Īs of Thursday, the total has moved three full points from the opening number of 51.5 to 54.5. Let’s run through and make sense of some of the top totals betting trends.

It should come as no surprise, then, that the betting trends I unearthed showed strong data backing plays on both sides. The under is 22-13-1 in games officiated by Vinovich with a spread of three points or less.Ī quick look at Super Bowl scoring history shows that the over has a slight all-time advantage at 26-25-1 (there was no official over/under listed for SB I).

Dating back to the start of the 2016 season, the under is 40-24-1 in Vinovich’s games, including 10-6 this season.He has been the league’s most profitable “under” referee over the past seven seasons.

The under is 58-42-1 (58%) in Vinovich’s games since the 2013 season.

There has been nearly 20% less penalty yardage than the league average in Vinovich’s games dating back to the start of the 2017 season.

It can.Ī referee’s tendencies should be taken into consideration, and in the case of Vinovich, there exists some intriguing information: Does officiating really matter? In short, yes. Officiatingīill Vinovich will be the Super Bowl 54 referee. In other words, the weather should have no adverse effects on either team’s ability to do what it wants offensively. Light NNW winds are expected to blow at 6 mph throughout the game. It looks like Super Bowl 54 will be played in ideal weather conditions, with temperatures ranging from the mid to low 60s under mostly clear skies. Let’s quickly run through each of these wild card variables. There are variety of contextual factors to consider prior to locking in a play on the over/under, including weather and officiating. The best play on the total in New Jersey may be BetMGM’s 200 to 1 odds on any touchdown being scored. But if you’re in the following states, here are the best places to bet: Pennsylvania We’ve put together a full guide for betting on the Super Bowl.

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